Resale home pace expected to climb
By Marty Hope, Calgary Herald
October 16, 2010
With a struggling economy and housing sector, anything the least bit positive is a good thing.
So it has been for the past couple of weeks -- a scrap of good news here and there.
Statistics Canada was first out of the chute with news that the Calgary area's unemployment rate for September declined to 6.6 per cent -- down from 6.7 per cent in August and declining even further from the 6.9 per cent in September 2009.
That being said, there were 1,400 fewer jobs created last month compared with August 2010.
But since the first of the year, job creation is still ahead of 2009, says Statistics Canada.
Job creation is good news for the new and resale housing sectors for obvious reasons.
The Calgary Real Estate Board has also chipped in with its good news.
In its latest activity report, the board reported sales of both detached single-family homes and multi-family condos climbed in September compared to August.
In terms of detached homes, 958 changed hands, up from 867 in August.
As for condos, the September sales total was 366, two more than were sold in August.
But compared to the same month last year, sales numbers for September were off.
CREB president Diane Scott took the positive road in her September summary, saying fall sales "should improve slightly" to reflect the latest Statistics Canada report.
"There are signs that September may mark a gradual, if not slight, uptick for Calgary's housing market," she says. "We are seeing a modest improvement since the market's decline that started in April of this year."
In the earlier part of the year, home-buyers -- first-timers for the most part -- decided to move up their purchase dates to beat expected hikes in interest rates and changes to mortgage rules.
When both these factors came into play, people who hadn't bought stepped back from the market, taking a wait-and-see attitude.
There were also those who continued to be concerned about the strength -- or lack of strength -- in the economy.
Here again was a bit of good news. Mortgage rates have not moved dramatically and the average price of used homes is holding fairly steady.
"The Bank of Canada is in no hurry to raise interest rates to any significant level and affordability continues to improve in key segments of the Calgary housing market," says Scott. "These factors, along with great selection, have clearly tipped this market in favour of the buyer."
The average price of detached single-family homes in September within Calgary was $460,278, up three per cent from August but almost unchanged from $459,085 in the same month last year.
The average selling price for condos inside Calgary was $284,028 last month -- down one per cent from August and two per cent from September 2009.
While the market, itself, appears to be undergoing a slight change, the makeup of the buyer is also getting a facelift.
"Clearly, there is a shift in the types of buyers entering the market," says Scott.
"It was first-time buyers who drove the late market recovery last fall and this spring.
"While lower-priced home sales have declined, sales over $1 million have actually increased by two per cent this year compared with the same period last year."
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MILLION SALES UP
For the first nine months of this year, million-dollar-plus sales of used homes totalled 286, up from 229 during the same period last year, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.
But the highest volume of sales of detached single-family resale homes are occurring in Calgary in homes priced between $300,000 and $399,999.
They amount to nearly 38 per cent, a slight improvement over 2009. Meanwhile, the vast majority of condo sales -- more than 47 per cent -- were priced from $200,000 to $299,999.
A year ago, this category accounted for nearly 51 per cent of all condominium sales. "While consumer confidence has strengthened and the unemployment picture has improved, economic jitters will continue to impact Calgary's housing market," says president Diane Scott of CREB. "More and more home buyers will eventually return to the marketplace, but for the moment, they remain moderately cautious."
Photo By: Dave van Hulsteyn
