ON GUARD FOR THEE?

Canada stands ready to tighten mortgage rules: Flaherty
By Randall Palmer
Reuters Mar 22, 2012

STITTSVILLE, Ontario – The Canadian government, dealing with signs of an overheated property market, is ready to tighten mortgage insurance rules again if necessary, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said on Thursday.

Mr. Flaherty also chided bank executives for asking the government to impose more restrictions, noting that the banks are the entities that offer mortgages.

Canada’s banking regulator, trying to curb risks posed by record-high levels of household debt, said this week it wanted lenders to be more transparent about their mortgage businesses.

Mr. Flaherty has imposed tougher requirements for government-backed mortgages three times since 2008.

“With respect to tightening up the mortgage insurance market we’ve done it three times … and we watch, we monitor the market, and if we have to tighten it some more we will,” he told reporters in Stittsville, Ontario.

“The new housing market produces a lot of jobs in Canada so there’s a balance that needs to be addressed. I’d like the market to correct itself, quite frankly, if it can.”

Mr. Flaherty said he had noted indications of softening in the Toronto condominium market, which he said was a good sign.

Canada’s household debt-to-income ratio hit a record high of 151.9% last year, largely the result of mortgage borrowing. The ratio dipped slightly in the fourth quarter but at 150.6% was not far off the record.

Mr. Flaherty said “it was a bit odd” that some banks were pressing him for tighter rules.

“We have bank executives in Canada saying ’You know, really the rules on insured mortgages should be tightened up’. They must forget that they are actually the ones that issue the mortgages — it’s their market, it’s not my market,” he said.

Since 2008, Mr. Flaherty has lowered the maximum amortization period for new mortgages to 30 years from 40 years, raised minimum down payments required to qualify for government insurance, and required all borrowers to qualify for a five-year fixed-rate mortgage to get insurance.

If he decided to act again, Mr. Flaherty could announce new measures in his March 29 budget.

Mr. Flaherty, who has promised to cut spending to eliminate the federal government’s budget deficit by the 2015-16 fiscal year, said he would be proposing moderate cutbacks in the budget.

“This is not an austerity program,” he said, adding the focus would be on long-term growth, prosperity, innovation and sustainable social programs.

TIME TO MOVE

Price, sales records expected this year
Could reignite calls for tighter lending rulesGarry Marr, Financial Post
Published: Tuesday, February 09, 2010

Canadian real estate sales and prices are poised to set records this year, according to a new forecast that is bound to reignite calls in some quarters for tighter lending rules.

The Canadian Real Estate Association, which represents 100 boards across the country, said yesterday it expects existing-home sales to reach 527,300, a 13.3% increase from a year ago and a 1.2% increase from the record high set in 2007.

The new-home market appears to be picking up steam, too. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said there were 186,300 starts in January on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, the highest level of new construction since October 2008.

Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney has warned about rising levels of household debt, which is reaching record levels. Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has suggested he is prepared to tighten mortgage requirements and continues to monitor the market.

"One of the legitimate concerns of the Finance Minister might be if you make qualifying for mortgage default insurance prematurely restrictive that it will quell housing activity even as erosion in affordability continues," said Gregory Klump, chief economist with CREA.

There are have been some rumblings that the government is considering new rules that would require buyers who need mortgage insurance to have at least 10% down and amortize their mortgage over just 25 years instead of the current 35 years.

Anybody with less than a 20% downpayment must get mortgage insurance, if they are borrowing from a financial institution governed by the Bank Act. Mr. Klump's group contends the market is going to correct on its own in the second half of 2010. CREA has called for sales to drop 7.1% in 2011. The group says that while prices will rise by 5.4% in 2010, to a record high of $337,500, they will drop by 1.5% in 2011.

That view of the housing market is not out of step with some economists, who say that once interest rates rise and inventory levels increase, price increases will shrink. Year-over-year price increases in some markets, such as Toronto, have been around 20% for the past few months.

"There is still a sense of urgency to get into the market. The market will continue to be strong over the next few months," said Benjamin Tal, senior economist with CIBC World Markets, adding he could see new construction also touching 200,000 starts before beginning to fall.

Part of that urgency in the housing sector is being driven by the introduction of the harmonized sales tax in Ontario and British Columbia on July 1. The tax would apply to real estate services and could increase the cost of buying a home by a few thousand dollars.

"It's a factor fuelling a higher level of activity in Ontario and British Columbia," Mr. Klump said. "What's more Canadian than avoiding taxes?"

Elton Ash, vice-president of Re/ Max of Western Canada, said he thinks the forecast put out yesterday was a little optimistic for 2010, specifically the 4.2% price increase for British Columbia. "But I also think the market will be better in 2011 [than CREA]."

Mr. Ash is actually in favour of some measures to cool the market, such as reducing the amortization period back to 25 years. But he wonders whether increasing the downpayment will take some people out of the housing market.

"I think leaving it at 5% would be okay," Mr. Ash said.

Photo by: Janet Leadbeater