MAY it be a GREAT YEAR!

May MLS sales in Calgary up substantially
Calgary Herald
May 29, 2012

It’s been a good spring so far for the local real estate industry with sales moving ahead of last year’s pace at a good clip.

And so far in May sales have continued to be quite healthy.

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, from May 1-28, there have been 2,104 MLS residential sales in the city, up 27.90 per cent from the same period last year and the average sale price has increased by 3.03 per cent to $445,120.

The single-family home market has seen year-over-year growth of 26.52 per cent in sales to 1,503 with the average price rising by 3.12 per cent to $503,694.

That average sale price is flirting with the all-time monthly record of $505,920 set in July 2007.

In the condo apartment category, sales of 345 are up 31.18 per cent from last year and the average price has risen by 4.03 per cent to $275,382.

Also, in the condo townhouse category, sales in May are up 31.96 per cent from last year to 256 transactions and the price has increased by 5.29 per cent to $329,969.

BLOOM & BOOM

Calgary housing market booming
Calgary Herald April 23, 2012

Just over three weeks into April and it appears Calgary’s housing market has seen a resurgence of activity this spring.

A boom perhaps?

According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, MLS sales in all housing categories are noticeably up compared with last year.

From April 1-22, single-family sales of 1,108 transactions are up 26.05 per cent from the same period a year ago but the average sale price has dipped by 0.43 per cent to $481,423.

The condo apartment category has seen sales grow year-over-year by 14.91 per cent to 262 units while the average price has dropped by 2.83 per cent to $269,046.

And in the condo townhouse sector, sales of 198 are up 15.79 per cent from last year and the average price has risen by 6.46 per cent to $319,140.

FUELING DEMAND

Burgeoning Calgary population to fuel demand in housing market
New home construction and MLS sales on upswing
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald February 8, 2012

CALGARY — A burgeoning population will spark another real estate cycle in Calgary with increased demand fuelling more MLS sales and more new home construction.

But industry experts don’t expect the next cycle to mirror the boom of a couple of years ago which experienced a frenzy of activity and fast-rising house prices due to a lack of supply.

Instead, a stable, steady growth is expected in Calgary’s real estate market.

On Wednesday, Statistics Canada reported the Calgary census metropolitan area had the highest rate of population growth in the country at 12.6 per cent between 2006 and 2011 and is now more than 1.2 million for the region.

Tim Logel, president and partner of home builder Cardel Lifestyles in Calgary, said the population data supports what the industry believes is happening in the market.

“What’s positive about it is that as more people move to Calgary then more of the inventory or the supply that we’ve been working on reducing gets absorbed,” said Logel. “And it gets absorbed quicker and gets us closer to being in a higher demand environment where we’re being asked to produce more new housing products of all types for the market ... Over the next year with this in-migration, the extra supply will be absorbed.”

Logel said a new real estate cycle has been started in the city. The last one finished in the spring of 2007 in the Calgary market.

Ann-Marie Lurie, chief economist for the Calgary Real Estate Board, said the growing population will help support increased demand for housing in the resale market as well.

“In the resale market, especially moving forward, we think this will also help really take up some of that inventory that is in the market because we had some out-migration in the past few years. 2010 in particular, in-migration levels were extremely slow and so that impacted our housing market as well,” said Lurie.

CREB is forecasting single-family MLS sales activity to increase by 12.2 per cent this year from 2011 levels and condo transactions to jump by 5.9 per cent. Its forecast is also for average sale prices of single-family homes to rise by 2.1 per cent and by 1.7 per cent for condos.

“It’s much more of a stable growth than it was during the last boom. I just don’t see us moving there,” said Lurie. “We’re not moving into that scenario. It’s a much more stable growth and we have a good supply of inventory right now in the resale market and frankly on the new home market they do have some room to improve in some of their construction.

“They’ve got some room to grow and build more to help meet with those household formation numbers.”

Already in January some real estate data, released Wednesday, is indicating support for increased activity in the market as housing starts and residential building permits showed impressive increases compared with a year ago.

According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., housing starts in the Calgary census metropolitan area totalled 786 units in January, up 52 per cent from 518 units a year ago.

In the region, 336 single-detached units broke ground in January, up 14.7 per cent from the 293 units started in January 2011.

“This represents the sixth consecutive month where starts have increased on a year-over-year basis,” said Richard Cho, senior market analyst in Calgary for the CMHC.

Multi-family starts, which include semi-detached units, rows and apartments, increased to 450 units in January, up from 225 units a year earlier.

“As was the case in the last several months, apartment construction continues to be elevated, averaging more than 340 starts per month since August 2011,” said Cho.

Also, the estimated construction value of building permit applications for the residential sector in Calgary rose by 42 per cent in January compared with a year ago.

In releasing its latest data on Wednesday, the City said residential values increased to $153 million compared with $108 million in January 2011. This represents 651 new residential units, a 73 per cent increase compared with the January 2011 total of 376.

“The overall gain in residential value and number of new residential units can be attributed to increases in the apartment and townhouse sectors,” said Kevin Griffiths, chief building official with the city’s department of development and building approvals.

“For the month of January we accepted six apartment applications for 193 new units compared to zero last year, and 20 townhouse applications for 122 new units, compared to only seven townhouse applications totalling 44 units for the same period last year.”

A TOAST WITH 7UP

Calgary MLS sales in 2011 beat Canadian average
Up 7.0% from the previous year
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald January 17, 2012

Calgary MLS sales in 2011 bested the Canadian average for year-over-year growth, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.

In releasing its year-end data on Monday, the association said sales of 22,466 units last year were up 7.0 per cent from the previous year while in Canada sales grew by 2.2 per cent to 456,749 transactions.

Sales across Alberta jumped by 6.9 per cent to 53,146 units.

However, Calgary and Alberta were behind the national average when it came to the annual price hike.

Calgary and Alberta registered 1.0 per cent year-over-year gains in the average MLS sale price to $402,851 and $355,808 respectively.

The national average was a 7.2 per cent hike to $363,346.

"The momentum in sales activity provides clear evidence that low interest rates continue to draw homebuyers to the housing market," Gary Morse, CREA's president, said in a statement. "While buyers have become increasingly cautious, the hand-off for sales activity going into the New Year suggests that Canada's housing market will continue to benefit from low interest rates in 2012, and continue making a significant contribution to Canadian economic activity."

Momentum for national sales activity and average price remains positive but is slowing, which suggests that the continuation of low interest rates is not causing the Canadian housing market to overheat, said Gregory Klump, CREA's chief economist.

"High-end home sales seem unlikely to spike again in the first quarter like they did at the beginning of 2011, so national average price momentum may wane further over the next few months," he said. "With interest rates widely expected to remain low throughout 2012, home ownership will remain affordable, and continue to support home sales activity."

Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist with BMO Capital Markets, said the Canadian housing market showed distinct signs of moderation in late 2011, with even some of the hottest of the hot cities simmering down.

COMPARATIVE DATA

Calgary MLS sales in 2011 top 2010: CREB
Eight per cent hike year over year
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald January 3, 2012

CALGARY - Calgary residential MLS sales in 2011 increased by eight per cent over the previous year, says the Calgary Real Estate Board.

In releasing its December data on Tuesday, CREB said total sales reached 18,568 for 2011 compared with 17,267 in 2010.

“Recovering from tepid sales activity in the first half of 2011, early improvements in employment and migration resulted in a pickup in housing demand in the second half of the year,” said the board in a news release. “By the end of June 2011, year-to-date sales activity had only increased by two per cent compared to the second half of the year, where residential sales improved by 15 per cent.”

Sano Stante, president of CREB, said sales activity remained 17 per cent below the long-run average but monthly figures point toward the trend of this gap narrowing.

In the single-family home market, there were 13,186 sales in 2011, a nine per cent increase over the previous year.

Meanwhile, the condominium market recorded declining sales for nearly half of the year, but favourable pricing and improved economic conditions pushed sales up by double-digit rates for the second half of the year, said CREB.

Condo sales totalled 5,382 in 2011, a four per cent increase over the previous year.

“The demand recovery in the condominium market lagged the single-family market, as price adjustments in both the single-family and condominium markets resulted in more selection for consumers,” said Stante. “For the first time in several years, consumers had additional selection of single-family homes at a lower price range, which directly competed with the condominium market.”

The single-family average price in 2011 reached $466,402, a one per cent increase over the previous year. The average price for condos of $287,172 remained one per cent lower than the previous year.

“Throughout 2011, elevated levels of inventories have limited price growth as consumers benefited from sufficient supply of housing to choose from. However, as these inventories drop to levels more consistent with a balanced market, we can expect some moderate price growth moving forward,” said Stante.

A PLEASANT FORECAST IN CALGARY?

Strong 2012 forecast for city's housing market
By Mario Toneguzzi
Calgary Herald December 7, 2011

Fuelled by low interest rates and job security, demand for residential real estate in Calgary is on the upswing, says the Re/Max Housing Market Outlook 2012 report published Tuesday.

And the real estate firm says Calgary will be a Canadian leader next year in the annual growth rate for MLS sales.

By year-end 2011, 22,500 homes are expected to change hands, an eight per cent increase over the 20,801 sales reported in 2010, it said.

And the average price in Calgary is forecast to appreciate as well, rising a "modest" one per cent to $405,000 in 2011, up from $401,186 one year ago.

The report forecasts the average MLS sale price will jump by three per cent in 2012 to $417,000, while sales will rise by five per cent to 23,600 units.

Lowell Martens, of Re/ Max Real Estate (Mountain View) in Calgary, said any hesitation on the part of some buyers in the city is more than likely a direct reflection of the uncertainty in the European economic situation.

He said commercial realestate construction taking place in Calgary "tells us the long-term feeling out there is very positive for Calgary."

"We have a very stable market over the next little while. We don't anticipate any big upswings, but at the same time we don't anticipate any big downswings either. It's going to be very stable," he said.

Buyers in the city are cautiously optimistic after more than two years of recession, making their moves while interest rates are at historic lows and housing values are affordable, said the report.

"Single-family homes remain most popular with purchasers, representing close to 60 per cent of total residential sales. Demand is greatest for entry-level product, priced between $350,000 and $450,000," it said. "Con-dominium apartments and town houses have also experienced solid momentum in recent months, with the lion's share of activity occurring from $200,000 to $300,000. Luxury home sales - priced over $1 million - have been particularly brisk, up approximately 25 per cent over 2010 levels."

While global concerns still loom, the market appears to be gaining some traction moving into the new year, said the report. Re/Max said Canadian residential realestate defied conventional logic and outperformed expectations in 2011, posting another solid year of housing activity virtually across the board. The trend is expected to carry forward into 2012 as Canadians "continue to demonstrate their faith in home ownership, despite concerns over the European debt crisis and its impact on the global economy."

"What 2011 proves is that real estate continues to have momentum," said Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president, Re/Max of Western Canada, in a statement.

"The economic underpinnings support ongoing demand, particularly as job creation efforts continue and unemployment rates edge down further."

Photo by: Hypnotic Love

MARKET BLOOMS

City's housing market blooms in June
Condo market posts first gain of the year
By Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald
July 5, 2011

Calgary's residential real estate market experienced a significant late spring upswing.

Single-family MLS sales last month finished up 32 per cent, to 1,398 homes, from June 2010's 1,059 transactions, according to data released Monday by the Calgary Real Estate Board.

Condo sales -up almost 31 per cent -were up year-overyear for the first time since April 2010. The real estate board recorded 581 sales last month, compared to 445 in June 2010.

While sale prices continue to lag and 2011 sales are up only two per cent over the first six months of 2010, the late spring swoon has brought tempered optimism of a continued turnaround.

"We had a late spring maret this year. It's all starting to come together in June," said Sano Stante, president of the Calgary Real Estate Board.

"Last year we had an exuberant market early on and it died in June.

"So to draw comparisons year-to-year for that month shows an exaggeration of the trend."

The average sale price for a single-family home in June remained almost flat, falling to $479,580 from $481,960 a year ago.

Condominium prices, on average, rose to $296,501, the highest since May 2010, from $292,182.

On a year-to-date basis, single-family home sales for the first six months are up more than 5.5 per cent, while condo sales are down almost five per cent.

"Strong monthly increases does not imply a housing boom, as it is important to put into perspective that sales activity remains below longterm averages," the real estate board said in a statement.

However, there are signs the local housing market is starting to find its footing, said Stante.

"This gradual levelling has been fuelled by growth in employment, and in particular growth in full-time jobs," he said.

Improved job prospects, combined with an increase in the number of people moving to Calgary, will give lift to our housing market for the remainder of this year and into the next."

Dan Sumner, an economist with ATB Financial in Calgary, said a year-over-year comparison may be misleading as to the strength of the Calgary housing market given that June is often one of the busiest months for sales, even though the same month last year was abnormally slow.

"Fuelling sales is a stronger economy specifically in Alberta, which feeds through into consumer confidence and that's making Albertans more comfortable with home purchases again," he said, adding low interest rates are also luring buyers.

CELEBRATE GOOD TIMES

Calgary MLS sales top year-ago levels

First time since April 2010
By Mario Toneguzzi 
June 30, 2011

CALGARY — For the first month since April 2010, MLS sales in both the single-family and condominium markets in Calgary will show year-over-year increases in June.

According to preliminary data by realtor Mike Fotiou, of First Place Realty, from June 1 to June 28, there were 1,267 single-family MLS transactions in the city and 531 condo sales, topping the entire month of June 2010 sales for each category.

A year ago this month, there were 1,061 single-family home sales and 445 condo sales.

Christina Hagerty, a realtor with RE/MAX Realty Professionals, said the industry started feeling a resurgence in the real estate market in the last quarter of 2010.

“Unlike many other parts of the world, Canada, and in particular, Alberta is a safe and stable place to call home,” she said, adding demands in the oil and gas industry will lead to more people coming here for work.

“The inner city is usually the last to feel any downturn and the first to recover. Now, more than we’ve felt in a while, people are moving. Expats from the U.K., U.S. and other areas across the country ... are coming here.”

So far in June, the average MLS sale price for a single-family home is $476,413, down slightly from June 2010’s average of $481,964, according to Fotiou’s preliminary, unofficial data. The condo average sale price this month was $297,984, up from $292,238 a year ago.

Hagerty said phones are busier today. Builders are confident to start building homes again. And conditionally sold and sold stickers “dot the streets.”

Photo By: Cuppojoe

THE SHORTEST MONTH SHOWS GROWTH

Calgary MLS sales rise in February
Prices up 3% from last year
By Mario Toneguzzi,
Calgary Herald March 15, 2011

CALGARY - Overall residential MLS sales and average prices rose in Calgary in February, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.

In data released Tuesday, CREA said Calgary sales, which included all residential properties, were 1,917 for the month, up by 0.2 per cent from a year ago.

The average MLS sale price was $400,879, an increase of three per cent from February 2010.

Nationally, CREA said sales dropped by 5.9 per cent to 34,093 transactions but the average sale price rose 8.8 per cent year-over-year to $365,192.

"The average price has been skewed higher nationally and in British Columbia recently by a record number of multi-million dollar sales in a couple of areas in Greater Vancouver," said Gregory Klump, CREA's Chief Economist.

"When you take Vancouver out of the equation, the year-over-year increase in the national average price drops to 3.4 per cent. While that's still stronger than in the past six months or so, national average price gains may recede after tighter mortgage regulations take effect in March."